Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 7.976429 9.290998 10.706855 12.339576 14.164644 16.136115 18.420834
2025-03-09 6.148777 7.816813 9.734914 12.084542 14.864997 18.029914 21.883227
2025-03-16 4.857726 6.671044 8.877996 11.722546 15.249536 19.435608 24.732316
2025-03-23 4.088082 6.008905 8.464622 11.768920 16.027078 21.254890 28.075373
2025-03-30 3.458121 5.418533 8.041897 11.712226 16.607143 22.797087 31.088484
2025-04-06 3.024283 5.024197 7.812977 11.851813 17.401252 24.598860 34.457212
2025-04-13 2.667034 4.684561 7.609057 11.981698 18.154940 26.345596 37.788007
2025-04-20 2.430815 4.490774 7.582237 12.336241 19.207861 28.504681 41.712439
2025-04-27 2.200479 4.273330 7.491501 12.576064 20.091891 30.448486 45.394074
2025-05-04 1.945853 3.981186 7.253827 12.568741 20.603776 31.879582 48.404880
2025-05-11 1.615462 3.513509 6.691685 12.017388 20.274615 32.099244 49.725889
2025-05-18 1.400264 3.219522 6.378644 11.820792 20.446148 33.015310 52.025767
2025-05-25 1.190330 2.906913 6.006130 11.502827 20.416150 33.640314 53.940154
2025-06-01 1.037909 2.683112 5.763174 11.373663 20.661793 34.665663 56.447740
2025-06-08 0.882584 2.428018 5.436681 11.074577 20.612839 35.236276 58.293360
2025-06-15 0.792680 2.298638 5.327822 11.138095 21.143146 36.690524 61.472913
2025-06-22 0.700775 2.149455 5.165341 11.091813 21.483762 37.855831 64.242294
2025-06-29 0.638428 2.059271 5.108601 11.228847 22.130311 39.508992 67.782890
2025-07-06 0.581391 1.972487 5.049508 11.354684 22.758084 41.145134 71.331346
2025-07-13 0.548741 1.942661 5.104477 11.695021 23.763971 43.405027 75.886642
2025-07-20 0.509462 1.888746 5.102913 11.925140 24.583422 45.384172 80.047105
2025-07-27 0.455750 1.785332 4.983921 11.918226 24.981360 46.687971 83.177787
2025-08-03 0.372849 1.579584 4.614876 11.389861 24.419984 46.400806 83.788444